Direxion Daily Junior Etf Performance

JDST Etf  USD 1.83  0.19  9.41%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of -2.32, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Direxion Daily are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Direxion Daily is expected to outperform it.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Direxion Daily Junior has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Etf's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the exchange-traded fund private investors. ...more
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Direxion Daily Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  468.00  in Direxion Daily Junior on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (285.00) from holding Direxion Daily Junior or give up 60.9% of portfolio value over 90 days. Direxion Daily Junior is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.333% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 56% of etfs are less volatile than Direxion, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Direxion Daily is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 8.43 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.22 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Direxion Daily Junior extending back to October 03, 2013. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Direxion Daily stands at 1.83, as last reported on the 4th of February, with the highest price reaching 1.96 and the lowest price hitting 1.76 during the day.
3 y Volatility
64.21
200 Day MA
6.8276
1 y Volatility
52.38
50 Day MA
2.6586
Inception Date
2013-10-03
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Direxion Daily Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Direxion Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.83 90 days 1.83 
about 88.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Direxion Daily to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.49 (This Direxion Daily Junior probability density function shows the probability of Direxion Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Direxion Daily Junior has a beta of -2.32. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Direxion Daily Junior are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Direxion Daily is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Direxion Daily Junior has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Direxion Daily Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Direxion Daily

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Direxion Daily Junior. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Direxion Daily's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.838.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.798.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.998.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.332.042.74
Details

Direxion Daily Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Direxion Daily is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Direxion Daily's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Direxion Daily Junior, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Direxion Daily within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Direxion Daily Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Direxion Daily for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Direxion Daily Junior can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Direxion Daily generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Direxion Daily has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Direxion Daily may become a speculative penny stock
Latest headline from talkmarkets.com: Warsh, The Silver Flash Crash Gold Stocks
This fund created-75.0 ten year return of -75.0%
Direxion Daily retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

Direxion Daily Fundamentals Growth

Direxion Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Direxion Daily, and Direxion Daily fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Direxion Etf performance.

About Direxion Daily Performance

Assessing Direxion Daily's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Direxion Daily's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Direxion Daily is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests in swap agreements, futures contracts, short positions or other financial instruments that, in combination, provide inverse or short leveraged exposure to the index equal to at least 80 percent of the funds net assets . Junior Gold is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
Direxion Daily generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Direxion Daily has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Direxion Daily may become a speculative penny stock
Latest headline from talkmarkets.com: Warsh, The Silver Flash Crash Gold Stocks
This fund created-75.0 ten year return of -75.0%
Direxion Daily retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.
When determining whether Direxion Daily Junior is a strong investment it is important to analyze Direxion Daily's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Direxion Daily's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Direxion Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Direxion Daily Junior. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Investors evaluate Direxion Daily Junior using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Direxion Daily's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Direxion Daily's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Direxion Daily's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Direxion Daily represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Direxion Daily's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.